Eyes on the Gulf: Low pressure area could develop
GULF OF MEXICO – Meteorologists are keeping an eye on a weak low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico that has about a 30 percent chance of development into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.
The system, which has moved west off of the Yucatan Peninsula into the southern Gulf has not become a tropical depression or storm as of press time, because it does not have thunderstorms near the circulation.
The system remains poorly organized with the associated showers and thunderstorm activity located well to the north and northeast of the low center. This is due to a large area of dry air located on the west side of the system, which is inhibiting thunderstorm development and any intensification of the weak low pressure area so far.
Environmental conditions could become somewhat more favorable for development while the low moves toward the west-northwest over the next couple of days.
Interests in the central and western Gulf of Mexico have been advised to continue to monitor the progress of the system through the early part of this week.
Another low in the Gulf, however, will make sure Texas and Louisiana do not remain dry this week it appears.
An upper level low north of the Yucatan Peninsula is forecast to slowly move toward the two states’ border through the early part of this week, resulting in high rain chances by the end of the weekend.
Locally, however, 1-4 inches of rain will be possible with this system, with the majority of this rain falling Monday through Wednesday.
According to the National Weather Service out of Lake Charles, South Central Louisiana, which includes Acadia Parish, can also expect winds 10-15 mph today through Wednesday. There is a minimal threat for tornadoes Monday and Tuesday.
And while early on many appeared to be concerned with Erin forming in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Africa, the system has weakened and is slated to continue to do so as it moves northwest at 11 mph.
By Tuesday, then Tropical Depression Erin is set to begin curving to a more northerly track in the middle of the Atlantic.